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FootballDocs
Fantasy Football

Player Rankings and Projections

Coming Summer 2008 - completely updated every week

Created with a Ph.D. level of education, the FootballDocs Fantasy Football Player Rankings and Projections provide the ultimate weapon to unleash on your opponents during your fantasy football draft. Player rankings and projections are obtained using the Docs� unique drafting algorithm and mathematical model, which was developed from years of NFL know-how and based on ten previous years worth of player data and performance. This model incorporates several variables to produce a comprehensive evaluation for each player when predicting individual performance for the 2008 NFL season. The model was tested against previous year end data to minimize error and maximize accuracy in all resulting projections. We are confident the resulting analysis, rankings, and projections will give you a significant advantage over your competition during your 2008 fantasy football draft. Enough with the talk...on with the rankings* and projections**: ( FAQ about our rankings )

*Rankings and fantasy point totals were calculated based on the following fantasy football scoring system:

1 point / 10 yards rushing or receiving
1 point / 20 yards passing
6 points / TD rushing or receiving
4 points / TD passing
-2 points / INT

The Draft Advisor^TM will allow the user to incorporate a variety of different fantasy points scoring systems to develop a unique ranking and draft strategy based on those scoring systems.

**Projections will be updated EVERY WEEK to account for player injuries and depth chart adjustments that occur during the NFL preseason.

Player Rankings FAQ
Through the years, a load of folks have asked us questions on our model and method for generating the FootballDocs player projections. In an effort to reduce some of the email volume, here are some quick facts:

What do you mean by �model�?
There exists a unique, mathematical expression that would accurately predict 100% correctly every player�s statistics this year. Naturally, this expression would be composed of thousands of variables and conditional logic statements, but it does exist. Our goal is to take an engineering approach to producing a model that gets as close to that correct solution consistently every year with minimal variance.

What variables are in the Docs� model for generating player projections?
Through a careful balance of analysis and years of experience in fantasy football, statistical trends are exposed that increase the probability of a correct outcome. Examples include but are not limited to the effect of a wide receivers� production on himself and teammates when switching teams, reversible and irreversible effects on player performance relative to specific injury history, and maximum production relative to age and experience.

Is your model solely based on statistics?
No. Although statistics and numerical analysis are powerful tools which can differentiate statistically significant factors that can affect player performance, the results must be balanced with football know-how and experience. That is where countless hours of the NFL network, ESPN, sports talk radio, and even our own past experience in football provide perspective to our analysis. (If you can believe it, one of us actually received All-State Football Honors way back in the ol� high school days).

What happens after the model generates its projections?
Extensive quality control checks are made after the model completes its 2008 player projections. Every projection for every player is carefully reviewed and critically discussed by the Docs on a both a player by player and cummulative team by team basis. Naturally this is a very time consuming process; however, we feel the end result produces an extremely comprehensive evaluation of player performance for the upcoming 2008 fantasy football season.

Do you actually have advanced degrees in engineering up to the Ph.D. level?
Yes. After all, FootballDocs is �Where the Geeks meet the Gridiron.�

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