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2011 "Four Year" Wide Receivers

This list contains some hidden gems
for 2011

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July 17, 2011

In our classic article, Wide Receiver Three Year Rule, we demonstrate statistically how wide receivers often make a dramatic improvement in fantasy football production entering their third year in the league. It is a classic fantasy football draft strategy to target these hidden gems in the mid to late rounds of your fantasy football draft. While the statistical mean, median, and mode indicate the third year is optimum, there is a statistically significant portion of four year wide receivers that have had a breakout season entering their fourth year in the league. With that in mind, we offer this handy list showing all "Four-Year" wide receivers for the 2011 fantasy football season.

In this list, we have denoted players that have already had a breakout season with a gray background. Since these players have already broken out, they do not represent potential value picks in the mid to later rounds of your draft as they will require a higher draft pick to obtain. However, all other players listed are fair game for consideration and warrant a little further investigation to see if they are breakout candidates this season.

Table Key:
Yellow Background - Four year wide receivers with upside and breakout potential for 2011.
Gray Background - Four year wide receivers that have already had breakout year.

Other wide receiver lists:
2011 Two Year Wide Receivers
2011 Three Year Wide Receivers

Four-Year Wide Receiver Candidates for your 2011 Fantasy Football Draft


Season Statistics for Wide Receivers from 2008 NFL Draft
Player (Current Team) Pick 1st Year 2nd Year 3rd Year 4th Year Comment
  Donnie Avery (STL)
33
674 / 3
589 / 5
Injured
TBD
  Coming back from ACL injury.
  Devin Thomas (CAR)
34
120 / 0
325 / 3*
0 / 0
TBD
  NFL career reaching end.
  Jordy Nelson (GB)
36
366 / 2
320 / 2*
582 / 2
TBD
  Huge during 2010 playoffs.
  James Hardy (BAL)
41
87 / 2
9 / 0
Cut by Bills
TBD
  6'6" with 4.49 sec 40 yd dash.
  Eddie Royal (DEN)
42
980 / 5*
345 / 0*
627 / 3
TBD
 New HC John Fox is run first.
  Jerome Simpson (CIN)
46
2 / 0*
0 / 0*
277 / 3*
TBD
  Very crowded in CIN.
  DeSean Jackson (PHI)
49
912 / 2
1167 / 9
1056 / 6
TBD
  Blossomed into elite WR.
  Malcolm Kelly (WAS)
51
18 / 0*
347 / 0
Injured
TBD
  OU star (6'4" / 218 lbs) has struggled.
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  Limas Sweed (PIT)
53
64 / 0*
5 / 0*
Injured
TBD
  Coming back from torn Achilles tendon.
  Earl Bennett (CHI)
70
0 / 0*
717 / 2
561 / 3*
TBD
  Caught OC Martz's eye at end of 2010.
  Early Doucet (ARZ)
81
90 / 0*
214 / 1*
291 / 1
TBD
  Needs a QB to shine.
  Harry Douglas (ATL)
84
320 / 1
Injured
294 / 1
TBD
  Lots of competition in ATL at WR.
  Mario Manningham (NYG)
95
26 / 0
822 / 5
944 / 9
TBD
  Capitalized on Burress leaving.
  Andre Caldwell (CIN)
97
78 / 0
432 / 3
345 / 0
TBD
  Rookie WR A.J. Green will take balls.
  Josh Morgan (SF)
174
319 / 3
527 / 3
698 / 2
TBD
  Michael Crabtree has taken over.
  Pierre Garcon (IND)
205
23 / 0
765 / 4
784 / 6
TBD
  Appears to have hit ceiling.
  Chaz Schilens (OAK)
226
226 / 2
365 / 2*
5 / 40*
TBD
  Great size (6'4" / 225 lbs); Injury issues.
  Davone Bess (MIA)
Walk-on
554 / 1
758 / 2
820 / 5
TBD
  Reception machine for Phins.
* Indicates player missed games due to injury.


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