A bad bust pick can definitely hamper your draft and put you squarely behind
the eight-ball all season long, particularly if the pick involved an early
round selection. A "bust" is simply a pick that underperforms his
anticipated 2008 value as perceived by the masses (Average Draft Position); however, just because a player is listed as a "bust"
doesn't mean that player is undraftable. There
isn't a fantasy manager out there that isn’t willing to take a "chance" (sarcasm)
on WR Wes Welker in their draft; however, by indicating
Welker as a bust, we simply are recommending that you don't overpay for
him and fall into a trap of seeing him listed high on other rankings.
We put a load of work into our analysis for our projected Busts and
ultimately want to empower you with some of the reasoning behind our recommendations.
At the end of the day it is all about risk management. These players
bring high risk to the table and stand a better chance of not having as successful
of a 2008 fantasy football season as their previous 2007 performance would indicate.
For more information on what is meant by a "bust", "Average Draft Position",
or how our projected busted picks are reflected in the FootballDocs Player Rankings
and Projections, click here (or read the information located at the bottom of
this article).
Vince Young, QB, Tennessee Titans - BUST
The Vince Young bus came screaming through in 2006, and everyone, including
EA Sports, jumped on. The darling of 2006, Young earned several accolades
after that season, including NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year and cover-boy
for the popular EA Sports Madden Football video game. Everything was
coming up roses for Young, and his 2006 season looked like it may prove to
be a huge stepping stone to a much bigger season. Well, it proved to
be a huge stepping stone, but not for a big year on the football field.
Rather, it was a huge stepping stone for a big year in partying. On
more than one occasion, Young’s commitment to the team was called out, and
Young did nothing to prove those accusations false. On the contrary,
his actions supported them… and continue to support them. Most recently
by enrolling in the University of Texas this past spring to finish his degree.
Naturally, folks in the Music City are not happy with Young’s lack of commitment
to the franchise, and it is hard to imagine his coaching staff is thrilled
either. While it is an honorable thing to finish your degree, now is
not the time for Young. At only 25 years old, his time in the NFL is
ticking, and Young needs to spend every minute he has learning the complexity
of the NFL and getting better. Particularly coming off a disappointing
season where he threw nearly twice as many interceptions as TDs. This
is an indicator of immaturity and classic sign of a young QB needing to learn
the NFL. It can be a little difficult trying to improve when you are
nearly 1,000 miles away from resources in Nashville that can and will make
you better as a NFL quarterback. The position of QB in the NFL demands
that a player be dedicated to the sport and making himself better, and returning
to school and partying it on up is not a way to do that. As such, it
is extremely difficult to envision Young having a breakout season, while
it is much easier to see him producing more of the same from 2007 in 2008,
if not a little worse. The receiving core in TEN is not impressive,
and Young did nothing in the spring to try to make him and his receivers
better as a pass-catch unit.
QB Vince Young is just one of sixteen key sleeper & bust picks the Docs have in store for the 2008 fantasy football season. The remaining 15 picks
are included in our Total Draft Package, which is updated each and every week to give you the latest and greatest fantasy football rankings, projections, and draft information on the web. The Total Draft Package also includes our unique draft software for custom rankings and
custom tier based drafting for your league scoring system, as well as our 80+ page magazine, which is also updated every week with the latest information and rankings. Click on the link
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Did we mention we offer a load more content than a typical fantasy football magazine?
Top 450+ overall projections? 300+ in-depth player profiles? 80+ page printable magazine? Offensive line rankings (both run and pass blocking)? Strength of
schedule analysis? Sleepers & Busts? So go ahead, see what proven Ph.D. know-how can do for you in your 2008 fantasy football draft...
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What is a fantasy football "bust" pick?
A "bust" is a player that significantly underperforms their average draft
position. In short, if you are unfortunate enough to select a bad "busted"
pick, you landed a player that yielded much lower production
than otherwise anticipated prior to the NFL season (ref: RB Edgerrin James in 2006). Consequently, you want to select any "busted picks" much
later than their Average Draft Position (ADP).
What is "Average Draft Position"?
Average Draft Position is an indicator of when a player should be selected
based on the average of hundreds of drafts completed by various fantasy football
leagues and mock drafts. For those that are interested, we provide links to sites that offer
Average Draft Position (ADP) information for the
2008 fantasy football season.
How do you determine a "busted" player?
Well, there is a lot that goes into why one player has a higher probability
of having a disasterous year than another. The idea of this article
is to bring some attention to certain players and list supporting facts as
to why they make a strong case as a busted pick. At the end of the
day, it's your call. We just want to empower you with some facts to
consider when evaluating talent as possible busted picks for your fantasy football draft.
